Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.000667 0.000765 0.000868 0.000986 0.001115 0.001254 0.001412
2025-04-13 0.000504 0.000636 0.000787 0.000970 0.001185 0.001427 0.001719
2025-04-20 0.000434 0.000584 0.000764 0.000992 0.001269 0.001594 0.001998
2025-04-27 0.000378 0.000540 0.000742 0.001006 0.001340 0.001741 0.002255
2025-05-04 0.000324 0.000490 0.000704 0.000995 0.001372 0.001838 0.002448
2025-05-11 0.000278 0.000442 0.000664 0.000975 0.001390 0.001914 0.002613
2025-05-18 0.000250 0.000418 0.000652 0.000988 0.001447 0.002039 0.002842
2025-05-25 0.000224 0.000392 0.000634 0.000991 0.001490 0.002144 0.003047
2025-06-01 0.000191 0.000353 0.000594 0.000960 0.001483 0.002182 0.003163
2025-06-08 0.000164 0.000319 0.000558 0.000931 0.001476 0.002218 0.003275
2025-06-15 0.000147 0.000299 0.000541 0.000928 0.001505 0.002302 0.003451
2025-06-22 0.000132 0.000282 0.000526 0.000927 0.001534 0.002386 0.003630
2025-06-29 0.000117 0.000262 0.000507 0.000918 0.001552 0.002456 0.003792
2025-07-06 0.000102 0.000241 0.000483 0.000900 0.001557 0.002507 0.003929
2025-07-13 0.000095 0.000234 0.000484 0.000922 0.001621 0.002643 0.004187
2025-07-20 0.000088 0.000226 0.000481 0.000935 0.001672 0.002762 0.004424
2025-07-27 0.000078 0.000211 0.000463 0.000924 0.001685 0.002824 0.004579
2025-08-03 0.000068 0.000194 0.000442 0.000906 0.001684 0.002865 0.004704
2025-08-10 0.000063 0.000188 0.000439 0.000918 0.001732 0.002980 0.004940
2025-08-17 0.000057 0.000179 0.000431 0.000921 0.001765 0.003073 0.005144
2025-08-24 0.000049 0.000162 0.000406 0.000892 0.001744 0.003081 0.005221
2025-08-31 0.000041 0.000147 0.000383 0.000864 0.001724 0.003090 0.005298
2025-09-07 0.000037 0.000140 0.000374 0.000862 0.001745 0.003164 0.005476